Ofgem price cap – what is happening to my energy bill?

Energy Price Cap Reduction: What It Means for Your Household Bills
The upcoming announcement from energy regulator Ofgem brings welcome news for households across England, Scotland, and Wales. According to latest predictions, Ofgem is expected to reduce the energy price cap by £117, bringing it down to £1,641 per year for the average dual fuel household starting April 1st. This reduction represents a 7% drop from the current cap and marks the first implementation of Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ November promise to cut £150 from average household energy bills. For families struggling with the cost of living, this reduction offers some much-needed financial relief, though the actual savings will vary depending on individual household consumption patterns.
The energy price cap system, which doesn’t exist in Northern Ireland where energy is regulated separately, sets maximum prices that suppliers can charge for each unit of gas and electricity, as well as maximum daily standing charges for grid connection. It’s important to understand that the headline figure of £1,641 represents what a typical household using average amounts of energy and paying by direct debit can expect to pay annually. Your actual bills will still reflect your personal energy usage – if you consume more than the average, you’ll pay more, and if you use less, you’ll pay less. The upcoming reduction will be implemented primarily through a cut to electricity unit rates, with an expected reduction of approximately 3.37p per kilowatt hour (kWh) from the previous quarter.
The promised £150 discount won’t appear as a single line item on your bill but will instead be applied through lower unit rates. It’s worth noting that the £150 figure represents an average saving, with actual amounts varying based on household size, property type, and energy consumption patterns. Energy analysts at Cornwall Insight suggest the true reduction might be closer to £145 annually once VAT and other pricing allowances are factored in. This slight difference occurs because increases in costs associated with the operation and maintenance of gas and electricity networks, which are funded through customer bills, have partially offset the savings. The Chancellor is achieving these reductions by shifting 75% of the Renewables Obligation costs from household energy bills into general taxation and by scrapping the previous government’s Energy Company Obligation scheme, which was funded through bills and designed to tackle fuel poverty but had faced implementation challenges.
When the new price cap takes effect, it’s essential to carefully review information from your energy supplier, particularly regarding the new rates you’ll pay for each unit of gas and electricity. This information becomes crucial if you’re considering switching away from the standard variable tariff (protected by the price cap) to a fixed tariff, or if you’re looking for a new fixed deal altogether. Comparing unit prices rather than headline figures is key to finding truly advantageous deals. Consumer advocacy organization Which? recommends looking for fixed deals that are cheaper than the price cap, don’t exceed 12 months in duration, and don’t come with significant exit fees. However, the landscape can be confusing – some fixed tariffs will incorporate the announced cuts from February 25th, while others won’t, making it challenging to determine the best course of action.
Given the complexity of the current energy market, some households might prefer to wait until after Wednesday’s official announcement before committing to a fixed tariff or changing suppliers. The End Fuel Poverty Coalition has warned that the current situation makes switching and fixing – already confusing processes – “even more difficult to gauge.” That said, it’s always worth investigating what fixed deals are available, keeping in mind any time commitments that might result in exit fees if you decide to switch again before the contract ends. The energy market remains volatile, and while finding a good fixed deal might protect you against future price increases, it’s important to weigh all factors carefully before making a decision.
Looking ahead, Cornwall Insight currently forecasts that the energy price cap will remain relatively stable throughout 2026, with a small additional decrease potentially coming in July. However, these predictions could shift as wholesale energy markets fluctuate and as new policy cost announcements emerge. While the immediate future looks promising with this April reduction, energy prices remain significantly higher than pre-crisis levels. For households, this means that energy efficiency measures and careful consumption monitoring continue to be important tools for managing costs. The transition of some green levies from bills to general taxation represents a policy shift that may provide more stable bills in the future, though the long-term impacts of these changes on both household finances and the UK’s green energy transition remain to be seen.





